Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

Is the US labor market in the calm before the storm? Economists say the Beveridge curve is the signal to watch.

Detailed comparison of average recessions over the last 164 years versus the "modern" recessions experienced since World War II. The dependence of modern recessions on Federal Reserve interventions.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported better-than-expected payrolls for April, but there are troubling signs in temporary staffing and revision trends. The U.S. labor market was red-hot in 2020-21 ...

It’s been five years since we published the first article on the “weirdest chart ever,” which shows the cyclical relationship between implied volatility on equity index options (represented by the VIX ...

Business cycles are the "ups and downs" in economic activity, defined in terms of periods of expansion or recession. During expansions, the economy, measured by indicators like jobs, production, and ...