Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve entered an unprecedented state this week, with one-month yields rising above three-month yields for the first time since the subprime mortgage crisis, due to investors' ...

The Treasury yield curve has witnessed substantial volatility in recent weeks as a result of multiple shocks, mostly related to Fed interest rate expectations, the dangers of a recession, and the ...

The yield curve, which looks at the spread between the 10-year treasury note and the year bill, has been an excellent predictor of coming recessions since 1960, with ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

Every time William publishes a story, you’ll get an alert straight to your inbox! Enter your email By clicking “Sign up”, you agree to receive emails from ...

Economists often look to the US Treasury bond market for clues about when a recession might come. Specifically, they examine the so-called yield curve. When it’s “inverted,” as it has been since about ...

We are in the presence of the dreaded flat yield curve. Now, I'm aware that the concept of a yield curve is very counter-intuitive, and many people find it a little intimidating. So let me quickly go ...